Kevin of Reno

Framing Problems; Finding Solutions

March 3, 2010 · Leave a Comment

Frank Luntz’s seminal point in his “Language of Financial Reform” memo is the idea that the economic crisis can be framed according to one’s ideological perspective. Such a conclusion about the context leading to the meltdown holds important implications for how government can respond. It’s especially interesting that we can all be in the same mess with different ideas about how we got there. There were probably myriad reasons (institutional and individual) why the economic crisis came about, but here language plays an all-important role.

With so many contributing factors, Americans are looking for a narrative to explain why they lost their IRAs, their jobs, and their homes. As evidenced by the wide gap in explanations Luntz presents for conservatives, liberals, and the “majority of Americans,” the narrative needs only to be more compelling than factual to be attractive.

If you gain acceptance of your framing of the problem, then it seems natural that people would accept your solution. For Obama, the “roots of the crisis lie in Big Business and the marketplace.” The obvious solution is a more active role for government in the economy and reform of our financial institutions.  For Republicans, “government policies caused the bubble and its ultimate crash.” The crash is evidence of what Americans already know (according to Luntz’s polling at least)… that the government is an ineffective regulator of our financial markets. Given the bank bailouts, stimulus packages, and regulations passed thus far, I would say that Obama has done a better job convincing Americans of his narrative.

It seems more important to sell Americans on one’s framing of a problem than the solution. Problems are more immediate and require action. If you can get Americans to buy your vision of the problem, they’ll also likely buy the solution.

This would have been important lesson for Democrats to learn before attempting to pass health care reform. Although there are certainly problems with our current system, reformers spent most of their time convincing Americans of their plans merits rather than convincing Americans that an immediate problem existed in the first place.

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Hamilton v. Madison

March 2, 2010 · Leave a Comment

In the constitutional debate, James Madison and Alexander Hamilton offered two different views for the future of the struggling nation. Both sought a strong federal system with a powerful executive; however, Madison wanted the executive to be checked by the other branches, especially the legislature, which would most closely resemble and represent its citizens. Hamilton’s plan called for a federal government centered on an executive modeled after the British monarch. 

Madison articulated his vision for a more federalist and democratic America through the Virginia Plan, which “undoubtedly was written by (him).” (Solberg, 73) Madison sought to strengthen the Federal government through the expansion of powers at the expense of rights formerly reserved to states. The purpose of this new federalist system was to secure the states against foreign invasion, resolve disputes between states, provide advantages only obtainable through economies of scale, defend against encroachments, and supersede state constitutions. (Solberg, 75)

 Unlike the New Jersey plan, which was proposed as a response to Madison’s vision, the Virginia Plan did not attempt to rework the Articles of Confederation. Instead, it abandoned the Articles and advocated for a strong national government with three branches: the legislature, the executive, and the judiciary.

            Large states favored the Virginia Plan, which called for proportional representation based on population. Although more democratic, this was quite a departure from the Articles of Confederation, which guaranteed each state a single vote, and issues regarding representation almost drove Delaware out of the convention as its delegates were barred from making any change to the rule of suffrage.  Madison, however, viewed direct election (of at least the larger of the two legislative bodies) as the “grand depository of the democratic principle of government.” (Solberg, 85)

            According to Hamilton’s notes, Madison had two overarching principles upon which he designed his plan for the republic. First, the government should be as extended as possible so as to limit the ability of specific interests to combine and enact their will. Specific interest that may have dominated in the state legislatures would have to compete with other interests, from other states, over issues before a national body. Second, the process of elections would refine and mellow the passions of the people. (Farrand, 146)

            Therefore, Madison’s vision for America recognized the potential for factions, which he later described in “Federalist No. 10,” and utilized a series of checks to protect against them. By expanding the federal government’s reach and drawing proportional representation from different districts, his governmental system for America would “know and sympathize with every part of the community.” (Solberg, 85) Further, the foundation for this new government would be more stable and durable if it rested in the people themselves. (Solberg, 86)

            Hamilton, too, supported a plan for a strong central power at the heart of the new federal system. However, he did not foresee myriad competing interests so much as he saw continued competition between creditors and debtors (i.e. the few versus the many). He wrote, “The primary objects of civil society are security of property and public safety.” (Farrand, 147) In his opinion, the government needed to serve as a check between the many and the few – “If government in the hands of the few, they will tyrannize over the many. If [in] the hands of the many, they will tyrannize over the few.” The check between the two would be a monarch. (Farrand, 308-309)

            Hamilton strongly urged his fellow framers to consider the British model, constitution, and monarchy as the basis for the new nation’s. He considered the British government the best in the world for its ability to unite “public strength with individual security.” (Solberg, 145) To secure these aims, America needs a strong executive. Unlike Madison, who claimed that the elected legislature would serve as the “grand depository of the democratic principle of government,” Hamilton believed an executive appointed for life would be a “safer depository of power.” (Solberg, 146)

            Hamilton also argued for executive powers such as an absolute veto. Like many of Hamilton’s suggestions this one was tempered by the convention and a more moderate compromise was reached.

Ultimately, the constitution that the framers produced more closely resembled the Virginia Plan and Madison’s vision than Hamilton’s. Even with the Connecticut Compromise undermining some of the more democratic elements of the Virginia Plan, the final product still had at least the lower house represented proportionately. Further, the key elements of the Virginia plan remained. The separation of powers between three branches, a federalist system, and a series of checks and balances remained central to the new government.

 As time progressed, elements of Madison’s vision for a more extended and democratic America came to fruition. The 17th Amendment provided for the direct election of Senators, state reforms moved the selection of the Electoral College delegates to the people, and suffrage expanded.  This is consistent with Madison’s statement that the “right of suffrage is certainly one of the fundamental articles of republican government.” (Solberg, 272)

However, other elements did not prevail. The rise of the two party system negated much of the power the framers expected the Electoral College to hold – no longer were elections decided by the College or by the House since a majority is easier to obtain with only two major parties. Party primaries essentially replaced the function the framers intended the Electoral College to serve.

The two party system also stands in contrast to one of Madison’s core principles that an extended republic would have so many factions so “as to render combinations on the grounds of interest difficult.” (Farrand, 147) Madison did not foresee diverse interests unifying under the banner of a single party. Certainly, there were elements of such coalitions even at the convention – where populous states and those supporting a strong national government united to form the future Federalists, but no one there foresaw two parties encompassing the majority of the political spectrum. Yet as early as Andrew Jackson’s presidential campaign in 1828, parties represented diverse political and geographical interests because it increased their chances of winning elections. (Aldrich) Such developments lessen the role Madison envisioned for factions.

Although Hamilton made his dislike of the convention’s outcome clear, he would probably be pleased with today’s development of the modern presidency into something more akin to the monarch he sought for the fledgling nation. The advent of mass media, the expansion of the bureaucracy, and a more interventionist government consolidated power in the chief executive. Further, the President naturally came to serve as the head of party once formed. When the President and Congress are of the same party, they more closely resemble the King and parliament on which Hamilton hoped to base the American system than the competing branches Madison envisioned. Hamilton notes that after the revolution the King of Great Britain had not once used his veto power. (Solberg, 98) That point is analogous to George W. Bush not once using the veto while Republicans controlled Congress. The President is not only an executor, but he is also an agenda-setter.

Ultimately, neither Madison’s nor Hamilton’s plans were fully enacted at the convention. The constitution more closely resembled Madison’s vision and evolved towards greater democracy with subsequent amendments. More recently; however, developments in the polity, especially the entrenchment of the two party system, has pushed power to the executive. As the head of state and head of party, the President now wields power the framers did not enumerate. Such a system more closely resembles Hamilton’s benevolent monarch than Madison’s democracy of factions.

John H. Aldrich, Why Parties? The Origin and Transformation of

Political Parties in America (The University of Chicago Press, 1995)

Max Farrand (ed.), The Records of the Federal Convention of 1787 (Volume 1, Yale University Press,

Winton U. Solberg (ed.) The Constitutional Convention and the Formation of the American Union (Second Edition: Urbana and        Chicago, University of Illinois Press, 1990)

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Web2.0 Department

February 24, 2010 · Leave a Comment

Some business are creating whole departments or divisions to tackle the company’s social media platforms. This is a mistake. Certainly you should dedicate resources: time, money, and people to social media, but it should not be a stand alone entity. Social media exists as an extension of, or new avenue to, existing relationships with your clientele.

You might have an intern solely in charge of the company’s Twitter or Facebook and might check up on her once or twice a day. Would you put one intern solely in charge of email? How about phone calls? Social media platforms are  tools… just like email and phone. They need to be integrated into the larger goals of the organization and the people running them should not be interns, but rather brand managers who understand the image the company hopes to cultivate.

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The Language of American Politics

February 24, 2010 · Leave a Comment

American politics is much like language. To be widely understood here, you have to speak English. Any ideas, values, positions you wish to share must be articulated in the words available to us in the English language. You can easily share complex ideas with a single word (like: commerce, capitalism, patriotism) but there are other ideas that are difficult, if not impossible to explain. Yet in other languages, they have their own word (like: wasta).

The language of American politics, then, is liberalism. Any idea must be expressed through the paradigm of liberalism in the Lockean, Hobbesian, classical libertarian sense of the word. The values associated with liberalism are so pervasive throughout our culture (from the rustic, individualism, self-sufficient ideal to the tea-party movement today) that all policy options must operate within its values.

As we move through these health care debates, notice that although both parties offer different plans, both operate within the liberal tradition of laissez-faire. Arguably, a whole range of policy options (including some very good ones) exist in our universe – just as a whole range of words exist throughout the world’s languages – but the only ones we can use are the ones we speak.

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From “Language and Politics Blog CCTP 756″

February 22, 2010 · Leave a Comment

One more winner of the BRPP: Kevin Carter – No Title

The effectiveness and pervasiveness of the poster described by Klemperer demonstrates how Hitler’s discussion of war propaganda in Mein Kampf moved from observation to practical application. The reasons that the poster is effective, according to Klemperer, are similar to the reasons Hitler believed the American and British propaganda of World War I to be effective: it was believable.

Unlike the German propaganda, which was rejected as “pure swindle and Krampf,” the British propaganda was believable and served merely as a confirmation of what the viewer already knew to be true. Because the propaganda was consistent with the viewer’s opinions, “it reinforced his faith in the truth of his Government’s assertions, whilst it heightened his rage and hatred against the villainous enemy.” (Hitler, 82)

In a similar vein, the poster of the Kohlenklau (coal thief) also drew its effectiveness from what already existed in the viewer’s mind. Klemperer and others were, from an early age, familiar with fairytales and conditioned to respond to the stereotypical characters in socially acceptable ways. For example, Klemperer mentions the story of Putois the Gardener, a bogeyman, meant to scare children and how integral he was “to the education of the next generation…” (Klemperer, 87)

Thus, viewers saw Kohlenklau not as propaganda of the Fuhrer, but instead as an extension of childhood learning. It was more effective than the posters of SS soldiers because “it appealed to the imagination” (Klemperer, 86) in a way that inspired other memories (for Klemperer these were Ovid’s Metamorphoses and France’s Putois). Unlike the SS and soldier posters, the poster of Kohlenklau did not need anything more than that combination of image and word to “(seize) hold of an entire work-force.” Its story had already been told in the fairytales of childhood.

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More Thoughts

February 8, 2010 · Leave a Comment

Harvey Mansfield, in his critique of President Obama’s first year in office, states that Obama’s failure to pass health care reform is indicative of his post partisan appeal. Obama professes to be a progressive who sees issues beyond politics and envisions a future in which they cease to be issues at all.  Mansfield believes that Obama, by ignoring the politics, also ignores the legitimate principles opposed to him and therefore, exposes himself to legitimate opposition.  Based on candidate Obama’s success compared to the failures of President Obama, it appears that rhetoric which “transcend(s) partisan argument,” is ill-suited for purposes of governing.

Obama’s post partisan appeal was in large part responsible for his presidential victory. The “vacuous words like ‘change’ and “hope’” appealed to a wide range of voters and allowed Obama to create the diverse coalition needed to win election.  According to John Aldrich’s Why Parties, Obama needed “to win vast and diverse support” aggregated under the Democratic Party. However, as in the days of James Madison, there are still myriad interests in “this extended Republic,” which prevent any “political party, no matter how large, (to) rule tyrannically, because it must also be too diverse.”

Certainly, Obama encounters this problem in the health care debate. Within his own party, the fiscally-conservative, unions, progressives, and New Dealers have differing views and preferences. Obama brought them into the fold and under one united banner for the election, but now that he must govern with them, the divisions appear irreconcilable.

One must wonder if the problem is systemic of our two-party system rather than unique to Obama. As America becomes more diverse and more complex, it seems reasonable to assume that there will be more interests and factions. Any candidate seeking to win election will need a majority. One way to obtain that majority is to expand your party base to be more inclusive. Whether the parties can continue absorbing these interests, keep them happy, and govern seems especially unlikely after seeing Obama’s attempts at passing health reform.

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State of the Union

February 4, 2010 · Leave a Comment

A recurring theme in President Obama’s speeches has been his propensity to blame current problems on his predecessor. The Washington Post, nearly a year ago, pointed out that the Obama administration talks about the economic collapse as an “unwelcome ‘inheritance’ of its predecessor.”  Continually, Obama uses the phrase, inherited, to describe unemployment, record deficits, and his limited options in Iraq and Afghanistan. The phrase has made him appear, at least to me, unprepared to bring about the change on which he campaigned.

Obama’s State of the Union, unfortunately, followed the same inheritance bent – only this time, he not only blames the previous administration for the bank bailout but he also somehow claims credit for its success. It’s an interesting way to structure an argument, and if it rang false for listeners of the State of the Union, it’s probably because it was. He begins his argument by relating to the people, reminding them that he’s one of the middle class (and not the candidate who claimed the working class clings to guns and religion). He reminds them that he too “hated the bank bailout.” Wall Street is an easy target and he takes his shots, comparing helping them to a “root canal.”

But Obama knows, perhaps because most economists agree, that an influx of capital was needed to keep our financial system afloat, and he takes credit for preventing the doomsday scenario. At this point, the educated viewer is probably wondering aloud, “Wasn’t it Bush who approved TARP – should it be him whom we vindicate?” Well, Obama acknowledges that it was the “last administration’s efforts” but only in the context of how “(Obama) supported the last administration’s efforts…” Even here he can’t help but to remind listeners that his administration took the program over, and made it “more transparent and more accountable.” Ultimately, his argument is a rhetorical trapeze act full of leaps of logic and suspended disbelief. Obama should be thankful that sticking to facts is one problem he didn’t inherit.

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Intro to APD

January 26, 2010 · Leave a Comment

American Political Development (APD) is a unique subfield within political science. Neither the political history of the United States nor a source of data for the testing of theoretical assumptions, APD is, as I understand it, the analysis of our current polity explained by historical context. It provides framework for understanding issues, conflict, and dilemmas through the changes that produced them. This paper seeks to explain the core features of APD as outlined by Karen Orren and Stephen Skowronek, demonstrate the value of APD, critique what I perceive to be weaknesses of APD, and present an international example of political development that I believe is illustrative of the subfield.

Orren and Skowronek identify four core features that distinguish APD from other political sciences. First, APD analyzes American politics through intensive research in American history. Other forms of political science might focus on how the structure of our polity affects policy or how rational choice affects the decision making of political actors or how theoretical constructs of governance are played out in actuality, but APD alone views our current polity within its historical context. This historical prospective allows us to understand the broader implications of history on the polity, which is the second core feature Orren and Skowronek identify.

For example, the current debate on health care takes place within the structural constraints inherent in our legislature, but it is also influenced by historical trends and events. APD scientists would argue that one cannot completely understand the health care debate without understanding the historical context (such as wage-freezes during WWII) that created the system that we seek to reform today. Pure political scientists would seek to explain it not by examining the change that produced the situation but by understanding the unwritten rules and theoretical framework that produce government.

When APD scientists examine how historical events influenced situations like our current health care debate, they also tend to engage in comparative research – the third core feature of APD. Examining how countries such as Canada or England developed universal health care coverage provides valuable lessons to understanding why the United States did not. This practice of comparative study also lends itself to examining “what if” scenarios within American history. APD scientists might examine: What if the socialist movement had gained traction in the United States as it did in Europe? How would have this affected our current views of government responsibility?

The fourth, and final, core feature of APD is the tendency to identify patterns of consistency throughout our nation’s political development. Due to their resilience in American polity, these patterns are subjected to the most examination and study by APD scientists. Some examples include our reverence of and deference to the constitution, the widespread acceptance of liberalism as the prevailing ideology in the United States, and the stability of the two-party system.

Perhaps the interest in these constants comes from APD’s view of political development as ever changing. If APD scientists research how certain aspects of our polity came to be over time, it would be worth examining why other aspects do not change. Understanding why something has not changed can help inform those attempting to change it. I believe this is where APD offers the greatest value.

If we return to the current debate over universal health care coverage, we can demonstrate the value of APD. The debate is an example of what Orren and Skowronek call a “present-day controversy whereby history can be seen to bear directly on.” If one hopes to pass health care reform, it would behoove him or her to understand the historical context that informs the current situation. As the authors point out, all political change precedes prior political practices, rules, and leaders. To best achieve the change they want, reformers should understand prior attempts at health reform, the events that linked health insurance to employers, and the culture of government non-intervention that permeates American political culture. This deep of a historical understanding of the dilemma supersedes traditional political science.  It views every state of affairs as constantly in transition and development as inevitable.

However, I believe APD is limited in its legitimacy because it is always backwards looking. Whereas Mayhew’s explanation of Congress as “single-minded seekers of reelection” has certain predictive behaviors in the sense that we can model future actions taken by Congress, APD can only tell us how we got to the point we are currently at.

APD scientists might try their hands at predicting political outcomes (for example, the success of true health care reform seems unlikely given past failed attempts and the enduring presence of liberal ideology), but such models are not legitimate because the instant the outcome changes, so too does the evidence which supported the model. What I mean is this: An APD scientist examining the two-party system would examine all of the historical influences that led to and maintained the two-party system. He or she would cite the division between the federalists and anti-federalists, the winner-take-all provisions of the constitution, the rivalry between John Adams and Thomas Jefferson, and the institutional barriers to third parties as reasons not only why America only has two parties but also why it is likely to stay that way. However, if America were to develop a viable third party, the historical events that served as data points for explaining our polity are suddenly changed to support the new conclusion, which is a three-party system.

If this situation seems too hypothetical, let me provide a real example. APD research in the 1970’s would likely have focused on how and why America became a progressive, left-leaning country. APD scientists would point to the New Deal, the Great Society, expansion of civil liberties, and the Warren Court as possible evidence for their theory. Their research would draw a clear line of development to the point from which they looked back. I doubt few, if any, of these hypothetical scientists could have predicted the rise of conservatism that coincided with the election of Ronald Reagan. Yet, any APD scientist in the 80’s would be able to draw their own new line (or as one scholar put it, “the right line”) to the current polity. Such a line would incorporate the liberal ideology of Americans dating back to Tocqueville, the nomination of Barry Goldwater, and a widespread desire to counteract progressive reforms.

Unlike other forms of political science, which seem to build upon theories, APD is constantly building completely new lines of development based on the situation at hand. As Orren and Skowronek point out, APD, at times, tells us more about the period in which they were written than what actually preceded it.

For example, Woodrow Wilson’s critique of the constitution, which explained the strong and unchecked powers of Congress, was appropriate at the time he wrote it, but it neither bears any resemblance to nor provides any explanatory value to understand the Congress we have today. Further, if early APD scientists were so quick to abandon the role of Germanic influences on our democratic system with the start of WWI, one must wonder how legitimate and well constructed that theory could have been.

Under such limitations, APD appears to offer benefits and value to those seeking to understand the historical context that led to the present, but it offers little in terms of understanding the future.

Orren and Skowronek touch briefly on the use of international comparative framework to explain APD. They essentially state that different histories lead to different governing structures, which can explain different outcomes.

My international experience is limited, but I believe it is illustrative of the authors’ point. I spent a semester abroad in the United Arab Emirates. Compared to the United States, the UAE has a very paternalistic government. The government provides approximately $40,000USD per year in health care, education, and utility subsidies to Emiratis, $20,000 to those recently married, free land and tax free loans, guarantees jobs, and censors the internet and television. Citizens of the UAE expect their government to fulfill these obligations and roles because of their political development.

The UAE, up until approximately 50 years ago, was a Bedouin, tribal society. The tribal leaders gained legitimacy and political power by providing for the people. Spoils of war would be shared among the members of the tribe, earning their favor and trust. Although the country is no longer tribal, the importance of this historical political development is still seen. The tribal leaders – now official monarchs – share the profits from oil exports with the citizens and provide many social services. The political development of the country shaped a governing system in which the monarchs are seen as the legitimate rulers through their patronage of the people.

The UAE example is informative not only because the country’s political development is so condensed (it gained independence in 1971) and therefore easily examined, but also because it offers a comparative example from which we can draw conclusions about America’s political development. By contrasting where the US’s and the UAE’s historical evolutions diverged, APD scientists can better understand how they reached different outcomes.

Such distinctions and comparisons are valuable because a polity is more than just the current situation or political dilemma – it is a function of all the historical events which precede it.

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Cities

December 18, 2009 · Leave a Comment

I’ve been to a lot of big cities now. San Francisco, Los Angeles, Seattle, Dallas, Chicago, New York, Washington DC, San Diego, Philadelphia, Salt Lake City.

One trend I’ve  noticed is that the cities known for their progressive policies and liberal programs are the ones more prone to problems. Granted: There is absolutely no way to measure causal relationship (likely SF has a liberal policy because it has so many homeless) and my position is purely observational. However, this article by PublicCEO.com articulates the case I’ve been making against those policies.

Despite its (San Francisco’s) spending more money per capita on homelessness than any comparable city, its homeless problem is worse than any comparable city’s. Despite its spending more money per capita, period, than almost any city in the nation, San Francisco has poorly managed, budget-busting capital projects, overlapping social programs no one is certain are working, and a transportation system where the only thing running ahead of schedule is the size of its deficit.

Yes, San Francisco is mismanaged, but blaming the individuals in charge won’t fix it. The problems with the city, and other large cities, are institutional. The larger and more complex and more we expect a government to do, the more likely corruption, waste, and incompetency are to define it. Government should do a few things, do them well, and then get out of the way.

The Economist did a piece awhile back on how the high taxes for high levels of service model California embodied has been replaced by the low tax, low service model of Texas. Certainly people came to appreciate and expect the services California provided, but as we’ve seen over the past two years, when the revenue that pays for those services is based on property values and sales taxes (both of which are subject to wide fluctuation), the model is unsustainable.

I love the San Francisco as a metaphor for liberalism visual. It’s a city that is suffering because it asked too often what it could do for its citizens, and not what they could do for it, or for themselves.

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An Impossible Dream

December 15, 2009 · Leave a Comment

Is the American Dream no longer possible? Two cars, a house, two kids (put through college), and a large enough nest egg to retire in comfort – those tangible things are supposed to be the corner-stone of the American middle class. Yet for many Americans, a dream is all they’ll ever be. It’s interesting that we have such a uniform standard for when you’ve “made it” for a society that prides itself for its diversity. We have diverse people with differing abilities yet expect them to all reach the same end. One has to wonder: Is it even possible?

David Brooks told the New York Times that the American dream is defined and only achieved by the highest quartile of citizens.

Cultural norms are thus set by the lucky 20 percent. Everybody else (we’re Americans, we don’t acknowledge class differences) measures their lifestyle according to the standards set by those top 20. To get the bigger house (which now seems normal) or the multiple cars or the flat screen, they go into debt. Pretty soon, kablooie.

Of course, part of the problem is most people think they’re the lucky 20 percent. According to Gallup, 57% of Americans making between $30,000-$49,000 identify themselves as “Haves” versus 36% as “Have-Not’s.” That range is where America’s median income and demonstrates our general optimism when it comes to our own wellbeing. 

However, just because you think of yourself as a “Have” doesn’t mean you can necessarily live the lifestyle of the “Haves.” I’m using Frank Luntz’s “The Average American: Meet Jennifer Smith” to study whether the Middle Class can achieve the earlier defined American Dream. Jennifer Smith is a white female, 36.4 years old, she earned her high school diploma, works in customer service, married to husband Michael with two kids, and has less than $2000 in savings. Her family income is $63,211 and she and her husband have a 30 year lease on a three bedroom home. Their mortgage payment is $1,508 a month and they own two cars (one of which is paid off). $22,000 or more goes directly to either their home payment or car loan. Even with their dependents, they’ll owe $4000 in federal income taxes. They’ll owe $3500 in property taxes. About $6000 will go to SS and medicare. Total, they’ll have  approximately $26000 in expendable income.

It seems that the Smiths can comfortably live the American dream. Although there are certainly millions of Americans that live in poverty, for the median American, a comfortable suburban life is still achievable.

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